{
  "id": "candidate-paths-v1",
  "files": {
    "scripts/candidate-path-probability.mjs": "4022a884b250a9516b30124bd2d177de714f07e7bdfdcbff5930c9b6e04a79b1",
    "scripts/audit-candidate-paths.mjs": "37eb2ce0f13adce0728d602b9f61b0b37af867a7e95d1e83e756f2ae24bce598",
    "app/data/protection-candidate.mjs": "3d0bd74b345095c8006ff88dcd19ca5c63506ec6478ce12c7ce99261e8038dae",
    "public/downloads/Candidate_incentives_results_v1.json": "3a8710a93286ce79db4729200bba4b30bc7320f5a91d14c0d781f7cafc13c11c"
  },
  "settings": [
    {
      "id": "equal-neutral",
      "strength": "equal",
      "home": 0
    },
    {
      "id": "equal-home",
      "strength": "equal",
      "home": 0.2
    },
    {
      "id": "ordered-home",
      "strength": "pre-title order",
      "home": 0.2
    }
  ],
  "design": "Post-counterexample sensitivity using the first strictly rank-improving witness chosen by the frozen allocation search. Exact outcome-tree enumeration, not a new holdout.",
  "probabilities": "Independent logistic games; equal strengths0 or fixed strength(31 minus pre-title rank)/6; home advantage0 or0.2logit units; no rest effect. Same ability parameters in both result worlds.",
  "limits": [
    "No estimated real-team abilities, causal home/rest effect or calibrated title forecast.",
    "Equal-neutral case isolates entry-round count; home/strength settings demonstrate assumption-conditional path effects.",
    "Final ranking inputs are declared, not NRR-derived."
  ]
}