{
  "schemaVersion": 1,
  "status": "frozen_pregame_expanded_comparison",
  "frozenAt": "2026-10-13T14:57:50.760Z",
  "evaluateThrough": "2026-12-07T23:59:59.999Z",
  "rankingContribution": 0,
  "inputSha256": {
    "public/downloads/NRR_candidate_complete_evaluation.json": "7ed8487dccb05d522c3263652ef90260a97eb8960ddb31b311d595a9e7d05260",
    "public/downloads/NRR_2026_week7_reference_candidate.json": "4f3229d32a13620ac777d22366b9aecc65cfd80e3fd4ae826ec46d044d6118ba",
    "public/downloads/NRR_candidate_expanded_reference_experiment.json": "5b8bbe2322e17404a82ac94cde8926faa3945b978763d42f13be03ce731f2d31",
    "app/rankings/performance-lab/current-nrr.json": "821bb3c8a71e126654aa29f2635fa0e43a5a0fddf0b1706730c1f7ec4ab1db2a",
    "public/data/current-nrr/2026-ap-week-7-6cdabd0e4200feb37d4f995ebba08c89a0878b26f71b758cb52b3907df574143.json": "6cdabd0e4200feb37d4f995ebba08c89a0878b26f71b758cb52b3907df574143"
  },
  "generatorSha256": "0e04d3bdb100f415658010ff7564b613c3116707b1375c0f38bd6c12b3f694ca",
  "trainingGames": 544,
  "trainingLastDate": "2026-10-10",
  "forecastFit": {
    "means": [
      0.009077912352941177,
      0.015330401985294133,
      0.02601748455882355,
      -0.004541764411764708,
      0.0015416462556348074
    ],
    "scales": [
      0.22858786959691424,
      0.24846953984410192,
      0.32409692594478806,
      0.1460521942974751,
      0.17079276233424806
    ],
    "coef": [
      0.1831403826380366,
      0.2967290410839972,
      -0.05189044631612291,
      0.1657730999086366,
      0.971179917315698
    ],
    "intercept": -0.038890323027161576
  },
  "scope": "Every scheduled FBS-versus-FBS game after freeze and through December 7 for which both teams have the prior Week 7 component record. The initial public receipt covers the October 13–17 slate. Later receipts require fresh pregame registration and data, never backfilling.",
  "primaryComparison": "Same frozen five-feature forecast fit and four résumé controls; replace only the Candidate performance input with the expanded-reference performance input. Positive paired absolute-error gain favors expanded references.",
  "target": "Home-team offensive yards per play minus away-team offensive yards per play, from completed verified boxes.",
  "successRule": "At least 200 unique eligible games across eight dates, positive paired mean absolute-error gain and a 95% date-block bootstrap lower bound above zero. Publish all exclusions. This forecast result alone cannot promote the NRR formula.",
  "exclusions": "Exclude games already started, non-FBS opponents, unavailable prior components, invalid kickoff or duplicated game IDs. Never select games by school, ranking or desired outcome.",
  "caveat": "This is a prospective test of changing the Week 7 performance input, not a separately retrained end-to-end ranking. It does not settle source-credit conventions, subsequent checkpoint updates, résumé order or complete Index validity.",
  "protocolSha256": "8ed7cc13d4d3fd98df8f261f926a3b9418f4813a40f0652def026c845f2a4360"
}