{ "schemaVersion": 1, "status": "retrospective_diagnostic_not_promoted", "rankingContribution": 0, "cutoff": "2026-10-11T03:59:59.999Z", "candidateSha256": "4f3229d32a13620ac777d22366b9aecc65cfd80e3fd4ae826ec46d044d6118ba", "reviewSha256": "eccf8b43658846d909dfc6b3d57426fcc9ce85c04d1de5709fdd7a127f212a08", "validationSha256": "acaba8bfd668dc28a94f902f06ad4f14b15820131e5395543702055ff09b4d3e", "expandedExperimentSha256": "5b8bbe2322e17404a82ac94cde8926faa3945b978763d42f13be03ce731f2d31", "generatorSha256": "795c961d2955641e4dd9394fba6ac6a159d65ba26ab78cc542f5d8741a45c160", "policy": { "minimumTrainingObservations": 100, "target": "offensive yards/play differential", "sameDayExcluded": true, "addedReferences": "only corroborated games dated strictly before target date", "targetEligibility": "identical to baseline 353-game replay" }, "summary": { "testedGames": 353, "testedDates": 19, "additionalSourceGames": 164, "baselineNoPrior": 53, "expandedNoPrior": 17, "connected": { "gain": 0.013599774895139742, "range": [ -0.012314853986965248, 0.04234322334123646 ], "dates": 19 }, "weighted": { "gain": 0.013807181446303812, "range": [ -0.00101035022474204, 0.03765723795436551 ], "dates": 19 } }, "errors": { "baselineConnected": { "games": 353, "mae": 1.9933540032100532, "rmse": 2.560964335872971 }, "expandedConnected": { "games": 353, "mae": 1.9797542283149125, "rmse": 2.5358197230497868 } }, "byCoverage": [ { "label": "No prior connection", "games": 53, "connected": { "gain": 0.04390082131892272, "range": [ -0.14625692398603304, 0.3469144663540327 ], "dates": 8 } }, { "label": "1–2 prior games", "games": 131, "connected": { "gain": 0.011585548743742428, "range": [ -0.023758372157631675, 0.06181418819144021 ], "dates": 8 } }, { "label": "3+ prior games", "games": 169, "connected": { "gain": 0.005658403092610454, "range": [ -0.0025241375333774495, 0.02122488556834068 ], "dates": 12 } } ], "traces": [ { "gameId": "401856661", "date": "2026-09-06", "actual": 0.6406485671191557, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 190, "additionalTrainingObservations": 82, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 0, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0, "expandedConnected": 0, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 0 } }, { "gameId": "401858438", "date": "2026-09-06", "actual": 1.081967213114754, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 190, "additionalTrainingObservations": 82, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 0, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0, "expandedConnected": 0, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 0 } }, { "gameId": "401858437", "date": "2026-09-06", "actual": 1.9598214285714288, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 190, "additionalTrainingObservations": 82, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 0, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0, "expandedConnected": 0, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 0 } }, { "gameId": "401858212", "date": "2026-09-07", "actual": -3.966637401229149, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 196, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 0, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.38650797478359583, "expandedConnected": 0.37431491283795926, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 0 } }, { "gameId": "401858213", "date": "2026-09-10", "actual": 9.449431652579424, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 198, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.6689648101690031, "expandedConnected": 1.5981793695532476, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 0.5327264565177492 } }, { "gameId": "401858214", "date": "2026-09-11", "actual": 0.9431051108968171, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 200, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.09453587558235832, "expandedConnected": 0.09453587558236087, "baselineWeighted": 0.03151195852745277, "expandedWeighted": 0.03151195852745362 } }, { "gameId": "401856678", "date": "2026-09-11", "actual": -2.7996636535631696, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 200, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.30696555733795633, "expandedConnected": 0.28874763112547613, "baselineWeighted": 0.10232185244598543, "expandedWeighted": 0.09624921037515871 } }, { "gameId": "401858215", "date": "2026-09-11", "actual": 5.540566959921798, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 200, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.10677476118653857, "expandedConnected": -0.34686978864172696, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": -0.11562326288057566 } }, { "gameId": "401858222", "date": "2026-09-11", "actual": 8.392783200236616, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 200, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 0, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.4632352941176663, "expandedConnected": -0.46323529411764786, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 0 } }, { "gameId": "401858220", "date": "2026-09-11", "actual": 4.085359801488835, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 200, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.8187908496732192, "expandedConnected": 0.8187908496732031, "baselineWeighted": 0.2729302832244064, "expandedWeighted": 0.27293028322440105 } }, { "gameId": "401864502", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": -0.3848484848484848, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.2663806665516433, "expandedConnected": -0.23979531962989065, "baselineWeighted": -0.08879355551721442, "expandedWeighted": -0.07993177320996354 } }, { "gameId": "401866412", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 3.3047052154195016, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 0, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.6333830633702815, "expandedConnected": -0.6333830633702758, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 0 } }, { "gameId": "401856674", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 2.1788194444444446, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.2687906131973162, "expandedConnected": -0.3392904079092895, "baselineWeighted": -0.08959687106577205, "expandedWeighted": -0.11309680263642984 } }, { "gameId": "401864571", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": -0.30555555555555625, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 1.1467617685436522, "expandedConnected": 1.146761768543613, "baselineWeighted": 0.38225392284788406, "expandedWeighted": 0.38225392284787096 } }, { "gameId": "401856810", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": -1.2436635944700463, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.14422777658072078, "expandedConnected": -0.10169590265919165, "baselineWeighted": -0.048075925526906926, "expandedWeighted": -0.03389863421973055 } }, { "gameId": "401856683", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 1.6071428571428568, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.24810635521817923, "expandedConnected": 0.31289900617654937, "baselineWeighted": 0.08270211840605973, "expandedWeighted": 0.10429966872551645 } }, { "gameId": "401856670", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": -3.1158743633276735, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.5480453244387979, "expandedConnected": -0.5542928147628753, "baselineWeighted": -0.18268177481293263, "expandedWeighted": -0.1847642715876251 } }, { "gameId": "401868241", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 2.6182698124621897, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.43310264792398134, "expandedConnected": 0.4330853644816374, "baselineWeighted": 0.14436754930799378, "expandedWeighted": 0.14436178816054582 } }, { "gameId": "401862702", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": -1.112316715542522, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 1.2516082659479337, "expandedConnected": 1.272201506287348, "baselineWeighted": 0.4172027553159779, "expandedWeighted": 0.4240671687624493 } }, { "gameId": "401856671", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 3.4014198782961462, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.3175129132479513, "expandedConnected": -0.3175129132479408, "baselineWeighted": -0.10583763774931709, "expandedWeighted": -0.1058376377493136 } }, { "gameId": "401866413", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 1.9319852941176467, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -1.094907407407426, "expandedConnected": -1.2732570015712485, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": -0.42441900052374953 } }, { "gameId": "401856784", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 4.456043956043956, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 0, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.11906344143187385, "expandedConnected": -0.11906344143186295, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 0 } }, { "gameId": "401860881", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": -2.274102564102563, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.9571396988381119, "expandedConnected": -0.9570532816172762, "baselineWeighted": -0.3190465662793706, "expandedWeighted": -0.3190177605390921 } }, { "gameId": "401858441", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": -4.7518939393939394, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.8472822360096595, "expandedConnected": -0.8472822360096518, "baselineWeighted": -0.2824274120032198, "expandedWeighted": -0.28242741200321725 } }, { "gameId": "401866414", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": -2.529505582137161, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.1581746031746103, "expandedConnected": -0.15866745470382004, "baselineWeighted": -0.052724867724870096, "expandedWeighted": -0.05288915156794002 } }, { "gameId": "401858216", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": -0.8729885057471263, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -1.2940228247699572, "expandedConnected": -1.2945156762982837, "baselineWeighted": -0.4313409415899857, "expandedWeighted": -0.4315052254327612 } }, { "gameId": "401866415", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 0.8486943164362524, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.361865942029008, "expandedConnected": -1.0117895138306512, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": -0.3372631712768837 } }, { "gameId": "401856676", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": -1.9626907857546634, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.10503420901904721, "expandedConnected": 0.0832979262342003, "baselineWeighted": 0.03501140300634907, "expandedWeighted": 0.027765975411400103 } }, { "gameId": "401856786", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 4.396929824561403, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.06534267802492992, "expandedConnected": 0.19458116839346631, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 0.06486038946448877 } }, { "gameId": "401858219", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 0.6588861588861592, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -1.4237613597986167, "expandedConnected": -1.4378266717374983, "baselineWeighted": -0.4745871199328722, "expandedWeighted": -0.47927555724583276 } }, { "gameId": "401868008", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 2.6851851851851856, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.545014386670852, "expandedConnected": 0.6899822384472711, "baselineWeighted": 0.18167146222361732, "expandedWeighted": 0.2299940794824237 } }, { "gameId": "401856785", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 3.3252156265854893, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.2156432748538153, "expandedConnected": -0.2560895201138987, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": -0.08536317337129956 } }, { "gameId": "401860882", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 2.9198369565217384, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 0, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.12658406082793763, "expandedConnected": 0.12658406082793588, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 0 } }, { "gameId": "401856684", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 0.05754475703324857, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.30357434350883794, "expandedConnected": 0.22188549612747085, "baselineWeighted": 0.10119144783627931, "expandedWeighted": 0.07396183204249028 } }, { "gameId": "401858217", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 0.9788441692466465, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.35869550673056294, "expandedConnected": -0.35869550673053857, "baselineWeighted": -0.11956516891018765, "expandedWeighted": -0.11956516891017953 } }, { "gameId": "401858440", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": -2.4363488624052003, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.2724761132085364, "expandedConnected": 0.2724761132448914, "baselineWeighted": 0.09082537106951212, "expandedWeighted": 0.09082537108163047 } }, { "gameId": "401856672", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 4.956989247311828, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.8189054726368461, "expandedConnected": 0.6667016194286108, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 0.22223387314287027 } }, { "gameId": "401862703", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": -1.1025753907109843, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.8794377673463403, "expandedConnected": -0.8794377673463264, "baselineWeighted": -0.29314592244878007, "expandedWeighted": -0.29314592244877546 } }, { "gameId": "401860883", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 4.572405372405372, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -1.2738130467030846, "expandedConnected": -1.2738130467155335, "baselineWeighted": -0.42460434890102816, "expandedWeighted": -0.42460434890517784 } }, { "gameId": "401856673", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 5.176126126126126, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 2.1707317073171186, "expandedConnected": 2.1713788137834005, "baselineWeighted": 0.7235772357723729, "expandedWeighted": 0.7237929379278002 } }, { "gameId": "401869955", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 0.9714285714285715, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.11110766947961959, "expandedConnected": 0.046315018522575385, "baselineWeighted": 0.03703588982653986, "expandedWeighted": 0.015438339507525128 } }, { "gameId": "401856681", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": -1.7586427656850185, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.589109754037187, "expandedConnected": -0.5891097540371597, "baselineWeighted": -0.19636991801239567, "expandedWeighted": -0.19636991801238657 } }, { "gameId": "401864578", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 0.07575757575757525, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -1.0107916902431937, "expandedConnected": -0.9535804131629194, "baselineWeighted": -0.5053958451215969, "expandedWeighted": -0.4767902065814597 } }, { "gameId": "401856787", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 6.353422619047619, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 0, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.3159880771182295, "expandedConnected": 0.31598807711821475, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 0 } }, { "gameId": "401858439", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 7.013040494166095, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 0, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.4095284447328777, "expandedConnected": 0.4095284447328583, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 0 } }, { "gameId": "401856788", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 0.002238567316917184, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.18751413387607418, "expandedConnected": 0.19205171100472462, "baselineWeighted": 0.06250471129202473, "expandedWeighted": 0.06401723700157487 } }, { "gameId": "401866418", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 2.2386363636363633, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.6238557252495535, "expandedConnected": 0.6093114954556169, "baselineWeighted": 0.2079519084165178, "expandedWeighted": 0.20310383181853897 } }, { "gameId": "401867929", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 6.439094848338951, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 0, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.1667189952904255, "expandedConnected": 0.1667189952904239, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 0 } }, { "gameId": "401856781", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 3.261081081081081, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 1.2882687648882034, "expandedConnected": 1.2882687648881805, "baselineWeighted": 0.4294229216294011, "expandedWeighted": 0.4294229216293935 } }, { "gameId": "401866416", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 2.958071278825996, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.8715277777777886, "expandedConnected": -0.5298980582598825, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": -0.1766326860866275 } }, { "gameId": "401868187", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 1.4607341015791722, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.16671899529042905, "expandedConnected": -0.018215630518635006, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": -0.0060718768395450025 } }, { "gameId": "401858445", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 0.08179848320693406, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.34891091264553015, "expandedConnected": -0.39396612048265034, "baselineWeighted": -0.11630363754851004, "expandedWeighted": -0.13132204016088345 } }, { "gameId": "401867796", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": -3.7584415584415583, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.500694657926404, "expandedConnected": 0.5006946579263879, "baselineWeighted": 0.16689821930880133, "expandedWeighted": 0.16689821930879598 } }, { "gameId": "401862708", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": -1.5235760971055088, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.5107086991405401, "expandedConnected": -0.5107086991405336, "baselineWeighted": -0.17023623304684668, "expandedWeighted": -0.17023623304684454 } }, { "gameId": "401871045", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": -0.019482062247564436, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -1.0798611111111578, "expandedConnected": -1.0462605565557215, "baselineWeighted": -0.35995370370371926, "expandedWeighted": -0.34875351885190714 } }, { "gameId": "401858444", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 1.801282051282051, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.04884137298519875, "expandedConnected": 0.04884137298520819, "baselineWeighted": 0.016280457661732917, "expandedWeighted": 0.016280457661736063 } }, { "gameId": "401866417", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 3.97895622895623, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.6050957854406134, "expandedConnected": -0.116359481830139, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": -0.038786493943379664 } }, { "gameId": "401856679", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": -0.12680756395995552, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.15443104673677027, "expandedConnected": -0.15443104673675995, "baselineWeighted": -0.051477015578923424, "expandedWeighted": -0.05147701557891998 } }, { "gameId": "401856677", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": -2.409197012138188, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.19060714585065042, "expandedConnected": -0.1570065912947588, "baselineWeighted": -0.06353571528355013, "expandedWeighted": -0.052335530431586265 } }, { "gameId": "401871046", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 3.165242165242165, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.7110294117647399, "expandedConnected": -0.4482879459663469, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": -0.14942931532211565 } }, { "gameId": "401864500", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": -0.32260228034875915, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.6506167647883596, "expandedConnected": -0.2079655603545885, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": -0.0693218534515295 } }, { "gameId": "401865252", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 3.753246753246753, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 1.1871012235026748, "expandedConnected": 1.5375266736778173, "baselineWeighted": 0.3957004078342249, "expandedWeighted": 0.5125088912259391 } }, { "gameId": "401858218", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 4.250633624331174, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.2818960546907148, "expandedConnected": 0.2326474351051659, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 0.07754914503505529 } }, { "gameId": "401862705", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 2.4463101160862353, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.5094786315754526, "expandedConnected": -0.5089774119148511, "baselineWeighted": -0.16982621052515084, "expandedWeighted": -0.16965913730495039 } }, { "gameId": "401864503", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 0.6349206349206353, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.7196969696969981, "expandedConnected": -0.8944937176644507, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": -0.29816457255481693 } }, { "gameId": "401859184", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 4.57123745819398, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.13985891275673942, "expandedConnected": -0.1398589127567364, "baselineWeighted": -0.046619637585579805, "expandedWeighted": -0.0466196375855788 } }, { "gameId": "401856682", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 1.5970695970695976, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.697288359788373, "expandedConnected": 0.6972883597883603, "baselineWeighted": 0.232429453262791, "expandedWeighted": 0.23242945326278677 } }, { "gameId": "401856782", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 1.9119869307739439, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.9546279732326524, "expandedConnected": -0.9546279732326255, "baselineWeighted": -0.3182093244108841, "expandedWeighted": -0.3182093244108752 } }, { "gameId": "401858221", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 1.1243291592128806, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.9189990749564276, "expandedConnected": -0.8570360041996204, "baselineWeighted": -0.3063330249854759, "expandedWeighted": -0.28567866806654013 } }, { "gameId": "401856783", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 1.891130567186905, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.8612758980628963, "expandedConnected": -0.9063311058690433, "baselineWeighted": -0.28709196602096543, "expandedWeighted": -0.30211036862301444 } }, { "gameId": "401858442", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 1.674217585692995, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.46322859744991146, "expandedConnected": 0.46322859744990896, "baselineWeighted": 0.1544095324833038, "expandedWeighted": 0.154409532483303 } }, { "gameId": "401856790", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 0.4882075471698113, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.44768199233716754, "expandedConnected": -0.44768199233716477, "baselineWeighted": -0.14922733077905584, "expandedWeighted": -0.14922733077905492 } }, { "gameId": "401858224", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": -0.4953371592539453, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.4844406426887314, "expandedConnected": -0.4799030655600336, "baselineWeighted": -0.16148021422957712, "expandedWeighted": -0.1599676885200112 } }, { "gameId": "401862707", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 0.5938148609381484, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.31791838652304505, "expandedConnected": -0.317918386523038, "baselineWeighted": -0.10597279550768168, "expandedWeighted": -0.10597279550767934 } }, { "gameId": "401858443", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": -2.1553030303030303, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.35726597276921696, "expandedConnected": -0.35913073091750014, "baselineWeighted": -0.11908865758973898, "expandedWeighted": -0.11971024363916671 } }, { "gameId": "401864504", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 1.3929765886287626, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.3317216457872636, "expandedConnected": 0.7338964135462778, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 0.24463213784875926 } }, { "gameId": "401858223", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 5.8845238095238095, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.7468631772677631, "expandedConnected": 0.21556536563135306, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 0.07185512187711769 } }, { "gameId": "401864575", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": -1.6748366013071898, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.21821848275336397, "expandedConnected": -0.21821848275336614, "baselineWeighted": -0.07273949425112132, "expandedWeighted": -0.07273949425112204 } }, { "gameId": "401856680", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 4.270315091210613, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.9320600724873059, "expandedConnected": 0.9320600724872885, "baselineWeighted": 0.31068669082910194, "expandedWeighted": 0.31068669082909617 } }, { "gameId": "401856789", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 5.834837298331967, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 0, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.2818960546907318, "expandedConnected": -0.2818960546907181, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 0 } }, { "gameId": "401860884", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 0.6341216216216221, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -1.0436741065093877, "expandedConnected": -1.0436741065093567, "baselineWeighted": -0.34789136883646254, "expandedWeighted": -0.3478913688364522 } }, { "gameId": "401866419", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 5.090290381125227, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.312567342540903, "expandedConnected": 1.3801494324223058, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 0.4600498108074353 } }, { "gameId": "401868326", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 2.4690669371196754, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 0, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.024458874458878663, "expandedConnected": -0.024458874458874652, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 0 } }, { "gameId": "401866420", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 3.352611940298507, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 0, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.10996271623903206, "expandedConnected": 0.10996271623519932, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 0 } }, { "gameId": "401858446", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": -0.13839701770736212, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.19336970899472433, "expandedConnected": -0.13140663824821885, "baselineWeighted": -0.0644565696649081, "expandedWeighted": -0.04380221274940629 } }, { "gameId": "401864505", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 5.6893667861409805, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.5630131362890142, "expandedConnected": -1.2301364239602328, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": -0.41004547465341096 } }, { "gameId": "401856791", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 3.790476190476191, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.18899305555555457, "expandedConnected": 0.04815348804958838, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 0.01605116268319613 } }, { "gameId": "401866421", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 2.4742690058479537, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 0, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.4085820895522588, "expandedConnected": -0.4085820895522397, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 0 } }, { "gameId": "401858447", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": 2.7894096165550817, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.18032786885246718, "expandedConnected": -0.005531120884979373, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": -0.0018437069616597912 } }, { "gameId": "401864506", "date": "2026-09-12", "actual": -0.4978494623655916, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 210, "additionalTrainingObservations": 86, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.1265840608279394, "expandedConnected": 0.023172276722849265, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 0.007724092240949755 } }, { "gameId": "401858225", "date": "2026-09-17", "actual": 1.1761904761904765, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 370, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.25142415435812826, "expandedConnected": 0.2251474467941842, "baselineWeighted": 0.12571207717906413, "expandedWeighted": 0.1125737233970921 } }, { "gameId": "401856811", "date": "2026-09-18", "actual": -0.9766666666666666, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 372, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 1.078002686999968, "expandedConnected": 1.030725663407738, "baselineWeighted": 0.539001343499984, "expandedWeighted": 0.515362831703869 } }, { "gameId": "401858226", "date": "2026-09-18", "actual": 0.17172675521821645, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 372, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 1.1885552983250864, "expandedConnected": 1.0909130624529109, "baselineWeighted": 0.5942776491625432, "expandedWeighted": 0.5454565312264554 } }, { "gameId": "401858455", "date": "2026-09-18", "actual": 4.939620471535365, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 372, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.487784055418443, "expandedConnected": 1.055333849297929, "baselineWeighted": 0.162594685139481, "expandedWeighted": 0.5276669246489645 } }, { "gameId": "401858451", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": -2.488541666666667, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.4549907915739073, "expandedConnected": -0.4945561426815194, "baselineWeighted": -0.22749539578695366, "expandedWeighted": -0.2472780713407597 } }, { "gameId": "401856685", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 1.2315340909090917, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.8808029339911255, "expandedConnected": 0.897083625761646, "baselineWeighted": 0.44040146699556276, "expandedWeighted": 0.448541812880823 } }, { "gameId": "401864574", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 1.6070175438596497, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.7508977574222886, "expandedConnected": 0.7038922616379436, "baselineWeighted": 0.3754488787111443, "expandedWeighted": 0.3519461308189718 } }, { "gameId": "401856793", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 1.80107276119403, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.9552636677650664, "expandedConnected": 0.9248121793804317, "baselineWeighted": 0.4776318338825332, "expandedWeighted": 0.46240608969021585 } }, { "gameId": "401856812", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": -2.14004914004914, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.7471412069472814, "expandedConnected": 0.8192088936790104, "baselineWeighted": 0.3735706034736407, "expandedWeighted": 0.4096044468395052 } }, { "gameId": "401856686", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": -2.5263696876600097, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -2.092118504346798, "expandedConnected": -2.010252874950671, "baselineWeighted": -1.046059252173399, "expandedWeighted": -1.0051264374753355 } }, { "gameId": "401856799", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": -2.049019607843138, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.46911191626201953, "expandedConnected": -0.4707578917472228, "baselineWeighted": -0.23455595813100977, "expandedWeighted": -0.2353789458736114 } }, { "gameId": "401856687", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": -0.8616427432216911, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.624153960322104, "expandedConnected": -0.6515275198837203, "baselineWeighted": -0.312076980161052, "expandedWeighted": -0.32576375994186013 } }, { "gameId": "401866422", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": -2.741071428571429, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.8590789806859782, "expandedConnected": -0.8383983072053818, "baselineWeighted": -0.4295394903429891, "expandedWeighted": -0.4191991536026909 } }, { "gameId": "401867804", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 1.5060331825037707, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.10386227499500655, "expandedConnected": 0.10393037033716979, "baselineWeighted": 0.05193113749750328, "expandedWeighted": 0.05196518516858489 } }, { "gameId": "401860885", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 1.166835443037975, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.7850571124976826, "expandedConnected": -2.0836556501931245, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": -1.0418278250965622 } }, { "gameId": "401858227", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 1.8924242424242426, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 1.047481379890045, "expandedConnected": 1.2329619530840648, "baselineWeighted": 0.3491604599633483, "expandedWeighted": 0.6164809765420324 } }, { "gameId": "401856798", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": -4.344951923076923, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -1.5933130214095605, "expandedConnected": -1.5511269302046435, "baselineWeighted": -0.7966565107047803, "expandedWeighted": -0.7755634651023218 } }, { "gameId": "401858456", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": -5.806207059938402, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -1.1467768596992682, "expandedConnected": -1.122730268678226, "baselineWeighted": -0.5733884298496341, "expandedWeighted": -0.561365134339113 } }, { "gameId": "401856795", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 4.9917771883289115, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.3764589874796402, "expandedConnected": 0.3514392301745048, "baselineWeighted": 0.1882294937398201, "expandedWeighted": 0.1757196150872524 } }, { "gameId": "401858233", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 5.460969205060874, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.5133531208319937, "expandedConnected": 0.514208787802626, "baselineWeighted": 0.1711177069439979, "expandedWeighted": 0.171402929267542 } }, { "gameId": "401864508", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": -0.17539804827940397, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.014721589977641392, "expandedConnected": 0.10477286403810859, "baselineWeighted": -0.007360794988820696, "expandedWeighted": 0.052386432019054296 } }, { "gameId": "401856797", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": -1.4530075187969924, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.5924752136053292, "expandedConnected": 0.6332659284504106, "baselineWeighted": 0.2962376068026646, "expandedWeighted": 0.3166329642252053 } }, { "gameId": "401858229", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 1.0177865612648223, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -1.2226979641074864, "expandedConnected": -1.2306803256480208, "baselineWeighted": -0.6113489820537432, "expandedWeighted": -0.6153401628240104 } }, { "gameId": "401869940", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 0.04163413999479548, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.06631575120257066, "expandedConnected": -0.1674571295937763, "baselineWeighted": -0.03315787560128533, "expandedWeighted": -0.08372856479688814 } }, { "gameId": "401856796", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": -0.18161732213875315, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.42974648325857245, "expandedConnected": -0.710047290540708, "baselineWeighted": -0.14324882775285747, "expandedWeighted": -0.23668243018023602 } }, { "gameId": "401858231", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 2.533511413307431, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.3366396911960011, "expandedConnected": 0.3518620109592645, "baselineWeighted": 0.16831984559800056, "expandedWeighted": 0.17593100547963225 } }, { "gameId": "401862710", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": -0.2224264705882355, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.6353890202433958, "expandedConnected": -0.6285459116765711, "baselineWeighted": -0.3176945101216979, "expandedWeighted": -0.3142729558382856 } }, { "gameId": "401858460", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": -4.003174603174603, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.818158363576378, "expandedConnected": -0.809241079604676, "baselineWeighted": -0.409079181788189, "expandedWeighted": -0.404620539802338 } }, { "gameId": "401862771", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 0.7261768082663602, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 1.3985423781596529, "expandedConnected": 1.3983920815810258, "baselineWeighted": 0.6992711890798264, "expandedWeighted": 0.6991960407905129 } }, { "gameId": "401860888", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 0.42016806722689104, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.46308918380781455, "expandedConnected": -0.41228242041663016, "baselineWeighted": -0.23154459190390728, "expandedWeighted": -0.20614121020831508 } }, { "gameId": "401869948", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": -1.0382653061224492, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.05766274802440963, "expandedConnected": 0.03143206556201028, "baselineWeighted": 0.028831374012204813, "expandedWeighted": 0.01571603278100514 } }, { "gameId": "401856800", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": -1.068295739348371, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.17348732573616077, "expandedConnected": -0.24313610383330156, "baselineWeighted": -0.08674366286808038, "expandedWeighted": -0.12156805191665078 } }, { "gameId": "401858228", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 1.698924731182796, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.13085451464554743, "expandedConnected": -1.0287715658723364, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": -0.3429238552907788 } }, { "gameId": "401858448", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 5.099923722349352, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.2529988167079962, "expandedConnected": 0.11664793504600905, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 0.058323967523004526 } }, { "gameId": "401858449", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 4.72354694485842, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 2.540089458237187, "expandedConnected": 2.525889922268797, "baselineWeighted": 1.2700447291185935, "expandedWeighted": 1.2629449611343986 } }, { "gameId": "401858471", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 7.327586206896552, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.7256229259189012, "expandedConnected": 0.7551214121738088, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 0.2517071373912696 } }, { "gameId": "401860887", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 0.4273429273429272, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 1.19588605570801, "expandedConnected": 1.256400347587488, "baselineWeighted": 0.597943027854005, "expandedWeighted": 0.628200173793744 } }, { "gameId": "401856792", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 2.1778357235984354, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 1.0610408526286668, "expandedConnected": 1.0625917923820547, "baselineWeighted": 0.5305204263143334, "expandedWeighted": 0.5312958961910274 } }, { "gameId": "401856692", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": -2.109841417910448, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.6187386751035888, "expandedConnected": -0.6335694769338529, "baselineWeighted": -0.3093693375517944, "expandedWeighted": -0.31678473846692645 } }, { "gameId": "401858454", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": -5.548484848484848, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -1.5503903035561104, "expandedConnected": -1.5883165314251801, "baselineWeighted": -0.7751951517780552, "expandedWeighted": -0.7941582657125901 } }, { "gameId": "401856694", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 2.5198412698412698, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.3483447956499426, "expandedConnected": -0.20715196085624304, "baselineWeighted": -0.1741723978249713, "expandedWeighted": -0.10357598042812152 } }, { "gameId": "401862776", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 0.8941570881226051, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.9544282731512077, "expandedConnected": 0.9590735605856804, "baselineWeighted": 0.47721413657560385, "expandedWeighted": 0.4795367802928402 } }, { "gameId": "401868317", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 1.3147727272727279, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -1.2577832843147483, "expandedConnected": -1.2326505458957193, "baselineWeighted": -0.41926109477158274, "expandedWeighted": -0.6163252729478597 } }, { "gameId": "401858230", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 1.3791666666666664, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.5357590212409429, "expandedConnected": -0.5065676422009947, "baselineWeighted": -0.26787951062047144, "expandedWeighted": -0.25328382110049735 } }, { "gameId": "401856688", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": -1.1213307240704502, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.962791272160145, "expandedConnected": 0.9428004791139553, "baselineWeighted": 0.4813956360800725, "expandedWeighted": 0.47140023955697763 } }, { "gameId": "401871047", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": -1.2494041170097505, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.2936893476833933, "expandedConnected": -0.2752627993215258, "baselineWeighted": -0.14684467384169664, "expandedWeighted": -0.1376313996607629 } }, { "gameId": "401858232", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 0.6760416666666664, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.4696236798437497, "expandedConnected": 0.5128289118730893, "baselineWeighted": 0.23481183992187485, "expandedWeighted": 0.25641445593654466 } }, { "gameId": "401862772", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 2.5214035087719298, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 1.185587259035783, "expandedConnected": 1.2874562068017923, "baselineWeighted": 0.39519575301192766, "expandedWeighted": 0.6437281034008961 } }, { "gameId": "401858450", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 2.96565349544073, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.18204029341735217, "expandedConnected": 0.05658619957910649, "baselineWeighted": 0.09102014670867609, "expandedWeighted": 0.028293099789553244 } }, { "gameId": "401858453", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": -2.18441127694859, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.7484748063682923, "expandedConnected": -0.7686055913210023, "baselineWeighted": -0.37423740318414617, "expandedWeighted": -0.38430279566050113 } }, { "gameId": "401864443", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 0.4677460156842903, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.18103782198181462, "expandedConnected": -0.3301542244399153, "baselineWeighted": -0.09051891099090731, "expandedWeighted": -0.16507711221995766 } }, { "gameId": "401856691", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 0.9869267482880266, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.23090468258002173, "expandedConnected": -0.2187972800005653, "baselineWeighted": -0.11545234129001086, "expandedWeighted": -0.10939864000028265 } }, { "gameId": "401856689", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 0.40750591016548476, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.6794895695296037, "expandedConnected": 0.6756333137392964, "baselineWeighted": 0.33974478476480185, "expandedWeighted": 0.3378166568696482 } }, { "gameId": "401856695", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": -1.4061545176778703, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.4432365241031052, "expandedConnected": 0.1863505728471042, "baselineWeighted": 0.2216182620515526, "expandedWeighted": 0.0931752864235521 } }, { "gameId": "401858452", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 3.216389244558259, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.9306718338583111, "expandedConnected": 0.12496734928983827, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 0.062483674644919135 } }, { "gameId": "401856690", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": -1.909558378705384, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.040129311832130865, "expandedConnected": 0.0016283076370418037, "baselineWeighted": 0.020064655916065433, "expandedWeighted": 0.0008141538185209019 } }, { "gameId": "401864507", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 1.2400708322792813, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 1.2500408891709278, "expandedConnected": 1.2185387831760324, "baselineWeighted": 0.7500245335025567, "expandedWeighted": 0.7311232699056195 } }, { "gameId": "401860889", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": -2.0268738870001615, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.3753056399149645, "expandedConnected": 0.3749892599429926, "baselineWeighted": 0.18765281995748226, "expandedWeighted": 0.1874946299714963 } }, { "gameId": "401866423", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 0.016464891041162666, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.062229547349702014, "expandedConnected": -0.05590593136307179, "baselineWeighted": -0.031114773674851007, "expandedWeighted": -0.027952965681535893 } }, { "gameId": "401856803", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 5.5902322811197145, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.5844773714876921, "expandedConnected": 0.7405996211496, "baselineWeighted": 0.19482579049589735, "expandedWeighted": 0.3702998105748 } }, { "gameId": "401860886", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 2.8055555555555554, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.23405761392135843, "expandedConnected": 0.20800158766362312, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 0.06933386255454103 } }, { "gameId": "401858458", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 0.20868644067796538, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.7010907926643654, "expandedConnected": -0.7035371051207019, "baselineWeighted": -0.3505453963321827, "expandedWeighted": -0.35176855256035094 } }, { "gameId": "401862773", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 0.03686635944700445, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.36709826808439633, "expandedConnected": -0.3683466114082352, "baselineWeighted": -0.18354913404219816, "expandedWeighted": -0.1841733057041176 } }, { "gameId": "401858457", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": -0.6507936507936503, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -1.1711583005382342, "expandedConnected": -1.163998550193951, "baselineWeighted": -0.5855791502691171, "expandedWeighted": -0.5819992750969755 } }, { "gameId": "401870764", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 5.490621468926554, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 1.1374740047276903, "expandedConnected": 1.1370405610649708, "baselineWeighted": 0.37915800157589674, "expandedWeighted": 0.37901352035499025 } }, { "gameId": "401862777", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 3.1713688610240336, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.17781118636836854, "expandedConnected": 0.0877813982173743, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 0.029260466072458097 } }, { "gameId": "401861963", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": -0.9998194293968936, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.8820014961280248, "expandedConnected": -0.8814232677065705, "baselineWeighted": -0.4410007480640124, "expandedWeighted": -0.44071163385328527 } }, { "gameId": "401862774", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": -1.1498538011695905, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -1.0221214873032511, "expandedConnected": -0.8919710897103635, "baselineWeighted": -0.5110607436516256, "expandedWeighted": -0.44598554485518177 } }, { "gameId": "401856693", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 1.7980005126890544, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.07494571459350666, "expandedConnected": -0.07422838831665168, "baselineWeighted": -0.03747285729675333, "expandedWeighted": -0.03711419415832584 } }, { "gameId": "401862775", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 2.372233400402415, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 0, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.3070631014118648, "expandedConnected": 0.30552105806676233, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 0 } }, { "gameId": "401866424", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 3.1878531073446332, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.5739839891703575, "expandedConnected": 0.8201540955369873, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 0.41007704776849363 } }, { "gameId": "401856801", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 3.0050050050050054, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 1.036716384455575, "expandedConnected": 0.8845085931257523, "baselineWeighted": 0.5183581922277875, "expandedWeighted": 0.4422542965628761 } }, { "gameId": "401856802", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": -1.3693277310924374, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.7351163843656809, "expandedConnected": 0.7564682582638251, "baselineWeighted": 0.36755819218284047, "expandedWeighted": 0.37823412913191257 } }, { "gameId": "401858459", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 4.606451612903226, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.2690594658010344, "expandedConnected": 0.6091548454757824, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 0.3045774227378912 } }, { "gameId": "401860890", "date": "2026-09-19", "actual": 4.7003722084367245, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 378, "additionalTrainingObservations": 134, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.06592368174114527, "expandedConnected": 0.5725823196956956, "baselineWeighted": -0.021974560580381754, "expandedWeighted": 0.2862911598478478 } }, { "gameId": "401869941", "date": "2026-09-24", "actual": -3.2741702741702747, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 520, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.21067597214829192, "expandedConnected": 0.21095147295250552, "baselineWeighted": 0.12640558328897514, "expandedWeighted": 0.12657088377150333 } }, { "gameId": "401862779", "date": "2026-09-25", "actual": -3.8269230769230766, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 522, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.6429224174242517, "expandedConnected": 0.7116296461235471, "baselineWeighted": 0.32146120871212586, "expandedWeighted": 0.35581482306177353 } }, { "gameId": "401858234", "date": "2026-09-25", "actual": -1.1330827067669178, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 522, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.05633249249335826, "expandedConnected": 0.052750784988763955, "baselineWeighted": 0.03379949549601496, "expandedWeighted": 0.03165047099325837 } }, { "gameId": "401858461", "date": "2026-09-25", "actual": 1.138825324180015, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 522, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 1.0082156301951992, "expandedConnected": 0.7374984457283537, "baselineWeighted": 0.5041078150975996, "expandedWeighted": 0.36874922286417683 } }, { "gameId": "401862778", "date": "2026-09-25", "actual": -0.39853938445487724, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 522, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.1737591798549312, "expandedConnected": 0.12865021782770816, "baselineWeighted": 0.0868795899274656, "expandedWeighted": 0.06432510891385408 } }, { "gameId": "401858468", "date": "2026-09-25", "actual": 3.5833333333333335, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 522, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 1.033922105414825, "expandedConnected": 1.0267547849737682, "baselineWeighted": 0.34464070180494166, "expandedWeighted": 0.34225159499125607 } }, { "gameId": "401864509", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": -0.7453450164293542, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.1172562805018098, "expandedConnected": -0.032817767590728464, "baselineWeighted": 0.0586281402509049, "expandedWeighted": -0.016408883795364232 } }, { "gameId": "401864512", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": -2.6357416529830324, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.08791622490904444, "expandedConnected": -0.09201426036612273, "baselineWeighted": -0.05274973494542666, "expandedWeighted": -0.055208556219673646 } }, { "gameId": "401856696", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": 2.8392213410237925, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.38781595620154613, "expandedConnected": -0.33282963224249024, "baselineWeighted": -0.23268957372092766, "expandedWeighted": -0.19969777934549415 } }, { "gameId": "401864572", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": 0.4029881718198798, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.11737677785141559, "expandedConnected": 0.020565189661340744, "baselineWeighted": 0.07042606671084935, "expandedWeighted": 0.012339113796804446 } }, { "gameId": "401856804", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": 1.3222306813856104, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.5735494714428986, "expandedConnected": 0.6789217168423287, "baselineWeighted": 0.34412968286573914, "expandedWeighted": 0.40735303010539725 } }, { "gameId": "401856697", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": 1.2004602991944768, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.8998235010406919, "expandedConnected": -0.8642684770278036, "baselineWeighted": -0.5398941006244151, "expandedWeighted": -0.5185610862166822 } }, { "gameId": "401869931", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": 0.596774193548387, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.1349293203547038, "expandedConnected": -0.12067366242986004, "baselineWeighted": -0.08095759221282228, "expandedWeighted": -0.07240419745791601 } }, { "gameId": "401856698", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": 0.6636781609195408, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.10914642097607252, "expandedConnected": -0.09208473463665079, "baselineWeighted": 0.0654878525856435, "expandedWeighted": -0.055250840781990475 } }, { "gameId": "401866425", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": -1.3169934640522878, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.039759721653763735, "expandedConnected": 0.1256978675294353, "baselineWeighted": 0.02385583299225824, "expandedWeighted": 0.07541872051766117 } }, { "gameId": "401856813", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": 0.07257257257257255, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.4793938486173309, "expandedConnected": 0.3780201901258985, "baselineWeighted": 0.28763630917039856, "expandedWeighted": 0.2268121140755391 } }, { "gameId": "401860897", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": 1.4274509803921571, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.5305198931289754, "expandedConnected": -0.4189812050042483, "baselineWeighted": -0.3183119358773852, "expandedWeighted": -0.251388723002549 } }, { "gameId": "401858242", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": -0.5265062806046412, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.5152576018245663, "expandedConnected": -0.5000197047622146, "baselineWeighted": -0.30915456109473977, "expandedWeighted": -0.30001182285732875 } }, { "gameId": "401862785", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": -0.6442932261057845, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -1.7582956949399322, "expandedConnected": -1.7235349505529045, "baselineWeighted": -1.0549774169639592, "expandedWeighted": -1.0341209703317427 } }, { "gameId": "401866426", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": -1.105121293800539, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 1, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.15516667437664045, "expandedConnected": -0.17295817293234833, "baselineWeighted": -0.05172222479221348, "expandedWeighted": -0.05765272431078278 } }, { "gameId": "401858238", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": -5.313725490196079, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -1.9403416641193192, "expandedConnected": -1.7799063280185399, "baselineWeighted": -1.1642049984715914, "expandedWeighted": -1.0679437968111238 } }, { "gameId": "401862780", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": -0.6991452991452993, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.9022214449817714, "expandedConnected": -0.8978993574717689, "baselineWeighted": -0.5413328669890628, "expandedWeighted": -0.5387396144830613 } }, { "gameId": "401856814", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": 2.9615196078431367, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.9683165714741729, "expandedConnected": -0.9129176705124625, "baselineWeighted": -0.5809899428845038, "expandedWeighted": -0.5477506023074775 } }, { "gameId": "401860896", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": -1.117521367521367, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.3063955025237035, "expandedConnected": -0.32525602351316596, "baselineWeighted": -0.1838373015142221, "expandedWeighted": -0.19515361410789958 } }, { "gameId": "401858239", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": -3.734158926728586, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.20833703403013631, "expandedConnected": -0.2002303761325933, "baselineWeighted": -0.1250022204180818, "expandedWeighted": -0.12013822567955598 } }, { "gameId": "401858244", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": 5.585915492957746, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.6480571732725076, "expandedConnected": 1.8814086157633008, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 1.1288451694579806 } }, { "gameId": "401862781", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": 5.178571428571429, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.011332967204654043, "expandedConnected": 0.8459751937065925, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 0.5075851162239555 } }, { "gameId": "401866427", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": 2.0660535117056855, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.19364060995145527, "expandedConnected": -0.06035523308161134, "baselineWeighted": -0.06454686998381842, "expandedWeighted": -0.036213139848966805 } }, { "gameId": "401867909", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": 2.696296296296296, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 1.4009158246467794, "expandedConnected": 1.7848446422583528, "baselineWeighted": 0.46697194154892646, "expandedWeighted": 1.0709067853550116 } }, { "gameId": "401856699", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": -0.43097497842968124, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.7968520017685756, "expandedConnected": 0.8624621522360826, "baselineWeighted": 0.47811120106114535, "expandedWeighted": 0.5174772913416495 } }, { "gameId": "401862782", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": 0.33442288049029667, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.04596773002588861, "expandedConnected": -0.04185714378281136, "baselineWeighted": -0.027580638015533166, "expandedWeighted": -0.025114286269686814 } }, { "gameId": "401858237", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": 5.290239726027398, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.21694457881042412, "expandedConnected": -0.058200172348685686, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": -0.03492010340921141 } }, { "gameId": "401860891", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": -0.5992063492063489, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.30304707561007904, "expandedConnected": 0.27024112433588054, "baselineWeighted": 0.18182824536604741, "expandedWeighted": 0.16214467460152832 } }, { "gameId": "401856700", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": 1.483729833196609, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.9987710588653608, "expandedConnected": 0.9546998283587228, "baselineWeighted": 0.5992626353192164, "expandedWeighted": 0.5728198970152337 } }, { "gameId": "401856806", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": -1.5384615384615383, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.6249627602361114, "expandedConnected": -0.6317701281926718, "baselineWeighted": -0.37497765614166684, "expandedWeighted": -0.37906207691560306 } }, { "gameId": "401864511", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": 0.08219178082191814, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 1.1348493915670572, "expandedConnected": 0.9195350978837128, "baselineWeighted": 0.6809096349402343, "expandedWeighted": 0.5517210587302277 } }, { "gameId": "401858240", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": -0.532317190816129, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.6758329889669326, "expandedConnected": 0.8460382101366972, "baselineWeighted": 0.4054997933801595, "expandedWeighted": 0.5076229260820183 } }, { "gameId": "401864510", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": -1.448739907022266, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.4754830876258085, "expandedConnected": -0.45386742059516516, "baselineWeighted": -0.28528985257548506, "expandedWeighted": -0.2723204523570991 } }, { "gameId": "401858465", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": -1.110604805302402, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.9308817970941183, "expandedConnected": -0.8783118310078668, "baselineWeighted": -0.558529078256471, "expandedWeighted": -0.52698709860472 } }, { "gameId": "401858463", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": -1.4783150548354937, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.679158176842531, "expandedConnected": 0.6741222584717061, "baselineWeighted": 0.4074949061055186, "expandedWeighted": 0.40447335508302373 } }, { "gameId": "401856816", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": -2.521232876712328, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.3801021730318487, "expandedConnected": -0.43503460333152977, "baselineWeighted": -0.2280613038191092, "expandedWeighted": -0.2610207619989179 } }, { "gameId": "401871048", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": 2.333333333333333, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.355822331897336, "expandedConnected": 0.40837847784239717, "baselineWeighted": 0.21349339913840157, "expandedWeighted": 0.24502708670543832 } }, { "gameId": "401869961", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": 1.4942293373045419, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.4795919505565429, "expandedConnected": 0.46953396006623743, "baselineWeighted": 0.2877551703339257, "expandedWeighted": 0.2817203760397425 } }, { "gameId": "401864576", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": 3.5544515103338625, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 1.1905705056756772, "expandedConnected": 1.2888967218077818, "baselineWeighted": 0.7143423034054063, "expandedWeighted": 0.7733380330846691 } }, { "gameId": "401858243", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": -1.1982720425343372, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.38523679099375474, "expandedConnected": 0.49671414228545124, "baselineWeighted": 0.23114207459625283, "expandedWeighted": 0.29802848537127075 } }, { "gameId": "401856702", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": 4.383333333333334, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.8802573973163644, "expandedConnected": 0.8572703944707313, "baselineWeighted": 0.5281544383898187, "expandedWeighted": 0.5143622366824387 } }, { "gameId": "401868188", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": -0.046666666666666856, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.40416067696565083, "expandedConnected": -0.43606093850804806, "baselineWeighted": -0.13472022565521694, "expandedWeighted": -0.26163656310482886 } }, { "gameId": "401858462", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": -4.916494133885438, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.5255534562442138, "expandedConnected": 0.5058284454835932, "baselineWeighted": 0.3153320737465283, "expandedWeighted": 0.3034970672901559 } }, { "gameId": "401861970", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": 0.9643046007403493, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.44343777434145837, "expandedConnected": -0.4796846979509613, "baselineWeighted": -0.266062664604875, "expandedWeighted": -0.2878108187705768 } }, { "gameId": "401858464", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": -1.1431372549019612, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -1.1845871900628158, "expandedConnected": -1.3289180210217728, "baselineWeighted": -0.7107523140376895, "expandedWeighted": -0.7973508126130637 } }, { "gameId": "401858470", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": 0.23372434017595367, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.1557515314532849, "expandedConnected": -0.1623651567494414, "baselineWeighted": -0.09345091887197095, "expandedWeighted": -0.09741909404966484 } }, { "gameId": "401856703", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": 0.8774358974358982, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.39387629933096235, "expandedConnected": 0.39403021039331626, "baselineWeighted": 0.2363257795985774, "expandedWeighted": 0.23641812623598976 } }, { "gameId": "401858241", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": -3.63883217639853, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -1.3399239779278846, "expandedConnected": -1.4599008993430942, "baselineWeighted": -0.8039543867567308, "expandedWeighted": -0.8759405396058565 } }, { "gameId": "401864579", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": 0.8491847826086953, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.4035101121517393, "expandedConnected": 0.4153264500960442, "baselineWeighted": 0.2421060672910436, "expandedWeighted": 0.2491958700576265 } }, { "gameId": "401862783", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": 5.979472140762463, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.36935213601377626, "expandedConnected": 0.2624334119966826, "baselineWeighted": 0.12311737867125874, "expandedWeighted": 0.1312167059983413 } }, { "gameId": "401858467", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": 4.449290060851927, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.8823310691142283, "expandedConnected": 0.8443391618175933, "baselineWeighted": 0.529398641468537, "expandedWeighted": 0.506603497090556 } }, { "gameId": "401866428", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": 4.1030392883617495, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.0452792617438626, "expandedConnected": 0.09051306189029035, "baselineWeighted": -0.015093087247954199, "expandedWeighted": 0.05430783713417421 } }, { "gameId": "401856881", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": 3.649064171122994, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.2317156221234386, "expandedConnected": 0.225078285465388, "baselineWeighted": 0.13902937327406314, "expandedWeighted": 0.1350469712792328 } }, { "gameId": "401858469", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": 1.465098039215687, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.12318002492379765, "expandedConnected": -0.15044093220754223, "baselineWeighted": -0.07390801495427858, "expandedWeighted": -0.09026455932452535 } }, { "gameId": "401860895", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": 4.548644338118022, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.5405258170536154, "expandedConnected": 0.43808495479815074, "baselineWeighted": 0.3243154902321692, "expandedWeighted": 0.2628509728788905 } }, { "gameId": "401858466", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": -1.7941724941724941, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.725616728103928, "expandedConnected": 0.6216366243640925, "baselineWeighted": 0.43537003686235676, "expandedWeighted": 0.3729819746184555 } }, { "gameId": "401858236", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": 6.613531047265987, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 1.042420519994991, "expandedConnected": 1.4675391582607675, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 0.8805234949564605 } }, { "gameId": "401866429", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": -2.0882136731193333, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -1.4245107723653039, "expandedConnected": -1.3985263635141616, "baselineWeighted": -0.8547064634191823, "expandedWeighted": -0.839115818108497 } }, { "gameId": "401856805", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": -2.9827505827505822, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.368379279352389, "expandedConnected": 0.34401336650002956, "baselineWeighted": 0.2210275676114334, "expandedWeighted": 0.20640801990001773 } }, { "gameId": "401860893", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": -2.704201680672269, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -1.134592271081082, "expandedConnected": -1.087684252181018, "baselineWeighted": -0.6807553626486492, "expandedWeighted": -0.6526105513086108 } }, { "gameId": "401862784", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": 0.48640422077922096, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.20104038768137722, "expandedConnected": -0.20291126317533906, "baselineWeighted": -0.12062423260882632, "expandedWeighted": -0.12174675790520344 } }, { "gameId": "401856815", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": 0.1005350605463251, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.2228075093388583, "expandedConnected": -0.18443491376309729, "baselineWeighted": -0.13368450560331496, "expandedWeighted": -0.11066094825785837 } }, { "gameId": "401856704", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": -1.8557416267942584, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.5263478155405016, "expandedConnected": 0.563523913755809, "baselineWeighted": 0.31580868932430095, "expandedWeighted": 0.3381143482534854 } }, { "gameId": "401860892", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": 5.558454106280193, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.15966109432385717, "expandedConnected": 0.09463985858415719, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 0.047319929292078594 } }, { "gameId": "401860894", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": -2.0625, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.5232796534093902, "expandedConnected": 0.37653161834224896, "baselineWeighted": 0.31396779204563413, "expandedWeighted": 0.22591897100534938 } }, { "gameId": "401870745", "date": "2026-09-26", "actual": 5.228932261768082, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 532, "additionalTrainingObservations": 206, "baselineReferences": 2, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.15130172987907542, "expandedConnected": 0.043697365153062995, "baselineWeighted": -0.07565086493953771, "expandedWeighted": 0.026218419091837798 } }, { "gameId": "401871049", "date": "2026-10-01", "actual": 1.1504504504504505, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 662, "additionalTrainingObservations": 266, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.7893066955777006, "expandedConnected": 0.7846379273187475, "baselineWeighted": 0.5262044637184671, "expandedWeighted": 0.5230919515458317 } }, { "gameId": "401862786", "date": "2026-10-01", "actual": 2.2547619047619047, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 662, "additionalTrainingObservations": 266, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.19272580457343275, "expandedConnected": 0.22184044962098232, "baselineWeighted": 0.1284838697156218, "expandedWeighted": 0.14789363308065487 } }, { "gameId": "401871050", "date": "2026-10-02", "actual": -0.11388888888888893, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 666, "additionalTrainingObservations": 266, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.6309851528118897, "expandedConnected": -0.566569328434157, "baselineWeighted": -0.4206567685412598, "expandedWeighted": -0.37771288562277133 } }, { "gameId": "401858476", "date": "2026-10-02", "actual": 2.7142857142857144, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 666, "additionalTrainingObservations": 266, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.5725227272088164, "expandedConnected": -0.28352868620617805, "baselineWeighted": -0.3435136363252898, "expandedWeighted": -0.1701172117237068 } }, { "gameId": "401858245", "date": "2026-10-02", "actual": -1.9995508645856725, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 666, "additionalTrainingObservations": 266, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.9014739211661583, "expandedConnected": 0.9492715964788474, "baselineWeighted": 0.6009826141107721, "expandedWeighted": 0.6328477309858983 } }, { "gameId": "401862791", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": -1.4680164319248825, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.34277900762737223, "expandedConnected": 0.3163842603835867, "baselineWeighted": 0.20566740457642332, "expandedWeighted": 0.18983055623015202 } }, { "gameId": "401866430", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": -2.68343765045739, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.03806606033425708, "expandedConnected": -0.018177231908225233, "baselineWeighted": 0.025377373556171385, "expandedWeighted": -0.012118154605483489 } }, { "gameId": "401856707", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": 3.603747072599532, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.06003428273486611, "expandedConnected": -0.03638325555572586, "baselineWeighted": -0.0400228551565774, "expandedWeighted": -0.02425550370381724 } }, { "gameId": "401856820", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": 2.7098515519568154, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.19547885197397785, "expandedConnected": -0.19336549250662072, "baselineWeighted": -0.13031923464931855, "expandedWeighted": -0.12891032833774715 } }, { "gameId": "401856817", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": -1.6122134793020866, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.09281443527969496, "expandedConnected": -0.037460100756533665, "baselineWeighted": -0.055688661167816976, "expandedWeighted": -0.0224760604539202 } }, { "gameId": "401856711", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": -1.3438673341677099, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.3170813497444575, "expandedConnected": 0.3155416170802081, "baselineWeighted": 0.211387566496305, "expandedWeighted": 0.21036107805347207 } }, { "gameId": "401869932", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": -1.4788359788359795, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.5262832959229649, "expandedConnected": -0.5607300149487234, "baselineWeighted": -0.3508555306153099, "expandedWeighted": -0.3738200099658156 } }, { "gameId": "401869842", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": -2.723112128146454, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.24002430327686747, "expandedConnected": -0.21973004901293597, "baselineWeighted": -0.14401458196612046, "expandedWeighted": -0.1318380294077616 } }, { "gameId": "401856710", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": 0.4867967853042474, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.10934623614533967, "expandedConnected": -0.07560655652642834, "baselineWeighted": -0.07289749076355978, "expandedWeighted": -0.05040437101761889 } }, { "gameId": "401866431", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": -0.46249062265566376, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -2.236579664485271, "expandedConnected": -2.08958962560622, "baselineWeighted": -1.4910531096568473, "expandedWeighted": -1.3930597504041466 } }, { "gameId": "401860898", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": 0.9710789766407117, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.5302871463655552, "expandedConnected": -0.5462408706186288, "baselineWeighted": -0.35352476424370344, "expandedWeighted": -0.3641605804124192 } }, { "gameId": "401858246", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": 1.4377171215880895, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -1.114401631203029, "expandedConnected": -1.1982068737170615, "baselineWeighted": -0.7429344208020192, "expandedWeighted": -0.798804582478041 } }, { "gameId": "401866477", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": 0.896892655367231, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -1.8431295481691348, "expandedConnected": -1.7098910705074335, "baselineWeighted": -1.2287530321127564, "expandedWeighted": -1.139927380338289 } }, { "gameId": "401866432", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": -0.6683480453972255, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.8823886260259385, "expandedConnected": -0.9744491497868004, "baselineWeighted": -0.5882590840172923, "expandedWeighted": -0.6496327665245336 } }, { "gameId": "401856818", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": -1.2252199413489735, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.6115235179468248, "expandedConnected": 0.5104386496579003, "baselineWeighted": 0.3669141107680949, "expandedWeighted": 0.3062631897947402 } }, { "gameId": "401858247", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": -0.06537625913489986, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.18897162149321195, "expandedConnected": -0.18929979456669954, "baselineWeighted": -0.12598108099547461, "expandedWeighted": -0.12619986304446637 } }, { "gameId": "401862787", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": -2.348033707865169, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.9161837498323934, "expandedConnected": -0.9401768346137629, "baselineWeighted": -0.6107891665549289, "expandedWeighted": -0.6267845564091753 } }, { "gameId": "401858249", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": -2.091397849462365, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -1.9768874599073674, "expandedConnected": -1.899534572073544, "baselineWeighted": -1.317924973271578, "expandedWeighted": -1.2663563813823626 } }, { "gameId": "401869942", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": -1.778032036613273, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.22048140650158243, "expandedConnected": -0.19693618892228726, "baselineWeighted": -0.1469876043343883, "expandedWeighted": -0.13129079261485818 } }, { "gameId": "401856821", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": -0.3125, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.5494406073466156, "expandedConnected": -0.4941169045096817, "baselineWeighted": -0.366293738231077, "expandedWeighted": -0.3294112696731211 } }, { "gameId": "401860899", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": -2.8646616541353387, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -1.2494165276148228, "expandedConnected": -1.330346883948328, "baselineWeighted": -0.8329443517432151, "expandedWeighted": -0.8868979226322186 } }, { "gameId": "401866433", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": -0.12040133779264206, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -1.5503938279848406, "expandedConnected": -1.531731336822563, "baselineWeighted": -1.033595885323227, "expandedWeighted": -1.0211542245483753 } }, { "gameId": "401856708", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": -3.4067234848484844, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.36780804602780226, "expandedConnected": 0.4798727867710938, "baselineWeighted": 0.24520536401853482, "expandedWeighted": 0.3199151911807292 } }, { "gameId": "401862790", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": 4.213836477987422, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 1, "expandedReferences": 2, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.5700305120058582, "expandedConnected": -0.09233439066634974, "baselineWeighted": 0.1900101706686194, "expandedWeighted": -0.04616719533317487 } }, { "gameId": "401858253", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": 4.2912393162393165, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.7424117877383483, "expandedConnected": -0.7242849445986246, "baselineWeighted": -0.4949411918255655, "expandedWeighted": -0.4828566297324164 } }, { "gameId": "401860921", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": 2.3767748478701827, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.0170065302168598, "expandedConnected": 0.04450048983460925, "baselineWeighted": -0.011337686811239867, "expandedWeighted": 0.02966699322307283 } }, { "gameId": "401856705", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": 1.3912655971479504, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 1.5921060671356535, "expandedConnected": 1.3748216439384011, "baselineWeighted": 1.0614040447571023, "expandedWeighted": 0.9165477626256008 } }, { "gameId": "401869956", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": 4.621442125237191, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.00941274823404134, "expandedConnected": -0.0776240199839617, "baselineWeighted": -0.006275165489360893, "expandedWeighted": -0.05174934665597447 } }, { "gameId": "401864513", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": 1.7265745007680495, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.943132161813887, "expandedConnected": -0.94453339549591, "baselineWeighted": -0.6287547745425913, "expandedWeighted": -0.6296889303306067 } }, { "gameId": "401856819", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": -0.5232225401716928, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.2134680983302546, "expandedConnected": 0.25543532544580305, "baselineWeighted": 0.14231206555350306, "expandedWeighted": 0.1702902169638687 } }, { "gameId": "401858472", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": -0.359375, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.9521004061451459, "expandedConnected": 0.9718418915479385, "baselineWeighted": 0.6347336040967639, "expandedWeighted": 0.6478945943652924 } }, { "gameId": "401858477", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": 4.1024064171123, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 1.6420925312476846, "expandedConnected": 1.6807173608823587, "baselineWeighted": 1.094728354165123, "expandedWeighted": 1.1204782405882392 } }, { "gameId": "401858473", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": -2.049974502804691, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.6129017972115274, "expandedConnected": -0.5309952988289708, "baselineWeighted": -0.40860119814101825, "expandedWeighted": -0.3539968658859805 } }, { "gameId": "401856822", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": -0.6301169590643267, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.540420265662332, "expandedConnected": 0.5834847858059496, "baselineWeighted": 0.36028017710822136, "expandedWeighted": 0.38898985720396645 } }, { "gameId": "401869962", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": 3.0707573244886666, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 1.7372850773503592, "expandedConnected": 1.7241268815005104, "baselineWeighted": 1.1581900515669061, "expandedWeighted": 1.1494179210003403 } }, { "gameId": "401856807", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": 5.267928858290303, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.7291756652338639, "expandedConnected": 0.7375252797934021, "baselineWeighted": 0.43750539914031833, "expandedWeighted": 0.4425151678760413 } }, { "gameId": "401866434", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": -0.6548821548821548, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.6275488167824712, "expandedConnected": -0.6512108289161378, "baselineWeighted": -0.4183658778549808, "expandedWeighted": -0.4341405526107585 } }, { "gameId": "401856709", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": -1.1379071379071384, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.02495886796221669, "expandedConnected": 0.17757041967307152, "baselineWeighted": 0.01663924530814446, "expandedWeighted": 0.11838027978204768 } }, { "gameId": "401871089", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": -2.3634336677814947, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.08056531428170888, "expandedConnected": 0.06294530185035058, "baselineWeighted": 0.05371020952113925, "expandedWeighted": 0.041963534566900385 } }, { "gameId": "401858248", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": 2.9491341991341997, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.5035228638033249, "expandedConnected": 0.49823569284092784, "baselineWeighted": 0.3356819092022166, "expandedWeighted": 0.3321571285606186 } }, { "gameId": "401856706", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": 3.067410996418791, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 0, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 1.5060209772215813, "expandedConnected": 1.5106393137080323, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 0 } }, { "gameId": "401858475", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": -0.23536231884058, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.48878081899061443, "expandedConnected": -0.6478401967063205, "baselineWeighted": -0.32585387932707627, "expandedWeighted": -0.43189346447088034 } }, { "gameId": "401858474", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": -0.35729984301412854, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.327053354406995, "expandedConnected": 0.439848274292726, "baselineWeighted": 0.21803556960466333, "expandedWeighted": 0.29323218286181735 } }, { "gameId": "401858479", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": -3.0414454879542676, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -1.0325865967809968, "expandedConnected": -1.1117525767255563, "baselineWeighted": -0.6883910645206646, "expandedWeighted": -0.7411683844837041 } }, { "gameId": "401864514", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": 2.4748911465892593, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.8328553295147045, "expandedConnected": 0.7393727676777344, "baselineWeighted": 0.5552368863431363, "expandedWeighted": 0.4929151784518229 } }, { "gameId": "401858250", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": -0.8306836248012726, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.9028839280191128, "expandedConnected": -0.8489939075943785, "baselineWeighted": -0.5417303568114676, "expandedWeighted": -0.5093963445566272 } }, { "gameId": "401864515", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": 2.508163265306122, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.9361564375799486, "expandedConnected": 0.9823029751470874, "baselineWeighted": 0.6241042917199657, "expandedWeighted": 0.6548686500980583 } }, { "gameId": "401862788", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": -0.494444444444444, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.6949808634133555, "expandedConnected": -0.6741170281519578, "baselineWeighted": -0.46332057560890366, "expandedWeighted": -0.44941135210130523 } }, { "gameId": "401860900", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": -0.9430618401206639, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -1.008263528345794, "expandedConnected": -1.1181325565067894, "baselineWeighted": -0.6721756855638625, "expandedWeighted": -0.7454217043378596 } }, { "gameId": "401862792", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": -0.6466666666666674, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.2479134780277808, "expandedConnected": -0.16467048379370003, "baselineWeighted": -0.1652756520185205, "expandedWeighted": -0.10978032252913335 } }, { "gameId": "401858478", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": -0.09927536231884027, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.008396474111796587, "expandedConnected": 0.026400980544897208, "baselineWeighted": -0.005597649407864391, "expandedWeighted": 0.017600653696598138 } }, { "gameId": "401858251", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": -4.8059701492537314, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -1.0793929219600922, "expandedConnected": -1.0899717081887212, "baselineWeighted": -0.7195952813067281, "expandedWeighted": -0.7266478054591475 } }, { "gameId": "401858252", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": -0.7550079491255959, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 3, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.03176460109095136, "expandedConnected": 0.04098429632221534, "baselineWeighted": 0.019058760654570815, "expandedWeighted": 0.024590577793329203 } }, { "gameId": "401862793", "date": "2026-10-03", "actual": 1.455026455026455, "division": "fcs", "baseTrainingObservations": 672, "additionalTrainingObservations": 268, "baselineReferences": 0, "expandedReferences": 3, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.07420401499522788, "expandedConnected": 0.5574807492662954, "baselineWeighted": 0, "expandedWeighted": 0.33448844955977725 } }, { "gameId": "401871090", "date": "2026-10-06", "actual": -0.5174242424242426, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 780, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.19844684698020656, "expandedConnected": -0.2121438249309332, "baselineWeighted": -0.13229789798680436, "expandedWeighted": -0.14142921662062213 } }, { "gameId": "401871066", "date": "2026-10-07", "actual": -0.632183908045977, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 782, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.46896745595586875, "expandedConnected": 0.4363228536668531, "baselineWeighted": 0.31264497063724583, "expandedWeighted": 0.29088190244456874 } }, { "gameId": "401871051", "date": "2026-10-07", "actual": -1.1049896049896049, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 782, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.7294204433959023, "expandedConnected": 0.7614474645027283, "baselineWeighted": 0.48628029559726815, "expandedWeighted": 0.5076316430018188 } }, { "gameId": "401869933", "date": "2026-10-08", "actual": 1.1714285714285708, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 786, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 5, "expandedReferences": 5, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.6242889045278185, "expandedConnected": 0.6277887182465709, "baselineWeighted": 0.44592064609129894, "expandedWeighted": 0.4484205130332649 } }, { "gameId": "401870766", "date": "2026-10-08", "actual": 3.6360729133354655, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 786, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.400277792071506, "expandedConnected": 0.4189150023269766, "baselineWeighted": 0.266851861381004, "expandedWeighted": 0.2792766682179844 } }, { "gameId": "401871052", "date": "2026-10-08", "actual": -1.1120398009950243, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 786, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.243371030624972, "expandedConnected": 0.2514799607446962, "baselineWeighted": 0.16224735374998134, "expandedWeighted": 0.1676533071631308 } }, { "gameId": "401862794", "date": "2026-10-08", "actual": -1.7586885245901644, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 786, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 5, "expandedReferences": 5, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.1724225462042896, "expandedConnected": -0.18806771802816258, "baselineWeighted": -0.12315896157449258, "expandedWeighted": -0.1343340843058304 } }, { "gameId": "401856826", "date": "2026-10-09", "actual": 4.7236533957845435, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 794, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.648998465241037, "expandedConnected": 0.5578828636034486, "baselineWeighted": 0.43266564349402464, "expandedWeighted": 0.3719219090689658 } }, { "gameId": "401858254", "date": "2026-10-09", "actual": -4.557321988356471, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 794, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 5, "expandedReferences": 5, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.35163342649730417, "expandedConnected": -0.3879913237116822, "baselineWeighted": -0.2511667332123601, "expandedWeighted": -0.2771366597940587 } }, { "gameId": "401858487", "date": "2026-10-09", "actual": 3.9868421052631566, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 794, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 5, "expandedReferences": 5, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.34346036762895765, "expandedConnected": 0.4925444088417007, "baselineWeighted": 0.24532883402068403, "expandedWeighted": 0.35181743488692907 } }, { "gameId": "401864519", "date": "2026-10-09", "actual": 0.4588744588744591, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 794, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 5, "expandedReferences": 5, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.25253577953044526, "expandedConnected": 0.3275004444451254, "baselineWeighted": 0.18038269966460377, "expandedWeighted": 0.23392888888937527 } }, { "gameId": "401860922", "date": "2026-10-09", "actual": 0.43487394957983216, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 794, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 5, "expandedReferences": 5, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.4456191262243957, "expandedConnected": 0.6119342093057814, "baselineWeighted": 0.31829937587456836, "expandedWeighted": 0.43709586378984383 } }, { "gameId": "401864516", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": 0.5721614227086187, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.38438114460865447, "expandedConnected": 0.3777041499809403, "baselineWeighted": 0.2562540964057696, "expandedWeighted": 0.25180276665396023 } }, { "gameId": "401866435", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": 1.1859450021824527, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 5, "expandedReferences": 5, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.27267492944202865, "expandedConnected": -0.2831876116796379, "baselineWeighted": -0.1947678067443062, "expandedWeighted": -0.20227686548545565 } }, { "gameId": "401856712", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": -1.692349726775956, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 5, "expandedReferences": 5, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.30722064552849815, "expandedConnected": -0.30473136685240854, "baselineWeighted": -0.21944331823464153, "expandedWeighted": -0.21766526203743466 } }, { "gameId": "401869843", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": -0.8803591470258136, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.7504260065387974, "expandedConnected": 0.7565951281909765, "baselineWeighted": 0.5002840043591983, "expandedWeighted": 0.5043967521273177 } }, { "gameId": "401856823", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": 4.431749622926094, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 5, "expandedReferences": 5, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.7861053721213206, "expandedConnected": 0.8008348513074817, "baselineWeighted": 0.5615038372295147, "expandedWeighted": 0.5720248937910583 } }, { "gameId": "401856808", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": 2.5564787783516723, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 1.0565345259520766, "expandedConnected": 1.1489105095147374, "baselineWeighted": 0.7043563506347177, "expandedWeighted": 0.7659403396764916 } }, { "gameId": "401856713", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": -1.747438524590164, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 5, "expandedReferences": 5, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.9659917742050658, "expandedConnected": -0.93093265288538, "baselineWeighted": -0.6899941244321899, "expandedWeighted": -0.6649518949181286 } }, { "gameId": "401862795", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": -0.030769230769231548, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.18115881946052148, "expandedConnected": -0.19280094297161504, "baselineWeighted": -0.12077254630701431, "expandedWeighted": -0.1285339619810767 } }, { "gameId": "401858482", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": -3.3118881118881127, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -1.7593744495699402, "expandedConnected": -2.01298434530203, "baselineWeighted": -1.1729162997132934, "expandedWeighted": -1.3419895635346866 } }, { "gameId": "401860901", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": -0.30330106726234796, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 5, "expandedReferences": 5, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.1897761643858637, "expandedConnected": -0.09571342341534234, "baselineWeighted": -0.1355544031327598, "expandedWeighted": -0.06836673101095882 } }, { "gameId": "401866436", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": 2.707991242474001, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 5, "expandedReferences": 5, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.5260472122574081, "expandedConnected": -0.4581197954526188, "baselineWeighted": -0.3757480087552915, "expandedWeighted": -0.32722842532329915 } }, { "gameId": "401866437", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": -0.4836065573770494, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 5, "expandedReferences": 5, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -2.1770848867513304, "expandedConnected": -2.082607507265177, "baselineWeighted": -1.5550606333938075, "expandedWeighted": -1.4875767909036977 } }, { "gameId": "401858259", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": -0.524499654934437, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 5, "expandedReferences": 5, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -1.0209454343930795, "expandedConnected": -0.9057715292861339, "baselineWeighted": -0.7292467388521997, "expandedWeighted": -0.64697966377581 } }, { "gameId": "401866438", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": -1.0157563025210088, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 5, "expandedReferences": 5, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.2463347425822155, "expandedConnected": -0.23196557907671922, "baselineWeighted": -0.17595338755872536, "expandedWeighted": -0.16568969934051372 } }, { "gameId": "401862796", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": -3.3928571428571432, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 5, "expandedReferences": 5, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -1.2365763578315052, "expandedConnected": -1.2798085112899509, "baselineWeighted": -0.8832688270225038, "expandedWeighted": -0.9141489366356792 } }, { "gameId": "401869943", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": -1.5854700854700852, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 5, "expandedReferences": 5, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.8656622096618448, "expandedConnected": 0.8793658658425324, "baselineWeighted": 0.6183301497584606, "expandedWeighted": 0.6281184756018089 } }, { "gameId": "401858255", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": -1.2907268170426063, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.9601677737218963, "expandedConnected": 0.6657296654160385, "baselineWeighted": 0.6401118491479308, "expandedWeighted": 0.4438197769440257 } }, { "gameId": "401862797", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": 1.4287179487179489, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.778987418491979, "expandedConnected": 0.7058085893780632, "baselineWeighted": 0.5193249456613193, "expandedWeighted": 0.4705390595853755 } }, { "gameId": "401856714", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": -0.2286036036036032, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 5, "expandedReferences": 5, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.07104511447156595, "expandedConnected": 0.04364730594072819, "baselineWeighted": -0.05074651033683282, "expandedWeighted": 0.031176647100520132 } }, { "gameId": "401869949", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": 1.465534465534466, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 5, "expandedReferences": 5, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.6997366093205177, "expandedConnected": -0.693158823596278, "baselineWeighted": -0.4998118638003698, "expandedWeighted": -0.49511344542591285 } }, { "gameId": "401856825", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": 1.4390527048990016, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.3906463245105947, "expandedConnected": 0.433190569413462, "baselineWeighted": 0.26043088300706313, "expandedWeighted": 0.288793712942308 } }, { "gameId": "401858480", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": -0.4904761904761905, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 5, "expandedReferences": 5, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.9681005915001755, "expandedConnected": 1.0030922169512537, "baselineWeighted": 0.6915004225001253, "expandedWeighted": 0.716494440679467 } }, { "gameId": "401858481", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": 2.731653888280394, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 5, "expandedReferences": 5, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.9412817850627437, "expandedConnected": 0.878703313361904, "baselineWeighted": 0.6723441321876741, "expandedWeighted": 0.6276452238299315 } }, { "gameId": "401856827", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": -0.24580017683465982, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.3408170087028859, "expandedConnected": -0.45613033979667894, "baselineWeighted": -0.22721133913525726, "expandedWeighted": -0.304086893197786 } }, { "gameId": "401866439", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": -2.6782531194295895, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 5, "expandedReferences": 5, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.4171825839512438, "expandedConnected": -0.4659479647829866, "baselineWeighted": -0.2979875599651742, "expandedWeighted": -0.33281997484499043 } }, { "gameId": "401856715", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": 0.12241093620546817, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 5, "expandedReferences": 5, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.8128827947660511, "expandedConnected": -0.694107331188978, "baselineWeighted": -0.5806305676900365, "expandedWeighted": -0.49579095084927005 } }, { "gameId": "401869965", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": 0.5806090461262876, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.054151516602437555, "expandedConnected": 0.20791490227371145, "baselineWeighted": 0.0361010110682917, "expandedWeighted": 0.13860993484914097 } }, { "gameId": "401858483", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": -3.7525293956795185, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 5, "expandedReferences": 5, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -1.32840509111696, "expandedConnected": -1.3924850171163325, "baselineWeighted": -0.9488607793692572, "expandedWeighted": -0.9946321550830947 } }, { "gameId": "401862798", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": 1.5143998318267808, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 5, "expandedReferences": 5, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.8621908630714346, "expandedConnected": 0.8984108248858609, "baselineWeighted": 0.6158506164795962, "expandedWeighted": 0.641722017775615 } }, { "gameId": "401866440", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": -0.3462887989203782, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 5, "expandedReferences": 5, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.4757792669665206, "expandedConnected": -0.5159328765668058, "baselineWeighted": -0.33984233354751475, "expandedWeighted": -0.36852348326200407 } }, { "gameId": "401858486", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": -1.2467497291440957, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 5, "expandedReferences": 5, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.47063331475133235, "expandedConnected": 0.3576562861671141, "baselineWeighted": 0.33616665339380886, "expandedWeighted": 0.2554687758336529 } }, { "gameId": "401856716", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": 1.9883512544802868, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 5, "expandedReferences": 5, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 1.4171751108285067, "expandedConnected": 1.399012569802765, "baselineWeighted": 1.0122679363060763, "expandedWeighted": 0.9992946927162606 } }, { "gameId": "401862799", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": 0.8880597014925371, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.0017696864324387995, "expandedConnected": -0.03171317533896062, "baselineWeighted": -0.0011797909549591996, "expandedWeighted": -0.021142116892640412 } }, { "gameId": "401858260", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": -1.577445652173913, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 5, "expandedReferences": 5, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -1.1374639723984405, "expandedConnected": -1.06117695193951, "baselineWeighted": -0.8124742659988862, "expandedWeighted": -0.75798353709965 } }, { "gameId": "401864517", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": 1.0134300295460648, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 1.0182396713969526, "expandedConnected": 0.9491506519895595, "baselineWeighted": 0.6788264475979684, "expandedWeighted": 0.632767101326373 } }, { "gameId": "401858256", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": 0.9333333333333336, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.5130626086473504, "expandedConnected": -0.39569198436020936, "baselineWeighted": -0.3420417390982336, "expandedWeighted": -0.2637946562401396 } }, { "gameId": "401864518", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": 0.933657786885246, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 5, "expandedReferences": 5, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.7222105818477257, "expandedConnected": 0.7182951970466261, "baselineWeighted": 0.5158647013198041, "expandedWeighted": 0.5130679978904472 } }, { "gameId": "401858257", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": 3.49017199017199, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 5, "expandedReferences": 5, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 2.1029851176208467, "expandedConnected": 2.1261186354198154, "baselineWeighted": 1.5021322268720334, "expandedWeighted": 1.5186561681570108 } }, { "gameId": "401856717", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": -1.8880534670008355, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.2485623456556999, "expandedConnected": -0.2369613715982134, "baselineWeighted": -0.16570823043713326, "expandedWeighted": -0.15797424773214228 } }, { "gameId": "401856824", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": 2.3819277108433736, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.043385421379699696, "expandedConnected": -0.08515623726469124, "baselineWeighted": -0.02892361425313313, "expandedWeighted": -0.05677082484312749 } }, { "gameId": "401856718", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": 1.657172557172557, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.34719357723165395, "expandedConnected": 0.17831907943830186, "baselineWeighted": 0.23146238482110262, "expandedWeighted": 0.11887938629220124 } }, { "gameId": "401858484", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": -0.5414746543778808, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.3139232282010743, "expandedConnected": -0.3618984158858811, "baselineWeighted": -0.20928215213404955, "expandedWeighted": -0.2412656105905874 } }, { "gameId": "401860902", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": 4.013586956521739, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 5, "expandedReferences": 5, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 1.3174547571075208, "expandedConnected": 1.4942115427290124, "baselineWeighted": 0.9410391122196577, "expandedWeighted": 1.0672939590921515 } }, { "gameId": "401858485", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": -1.1587301587301582, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 5, "expandedReferences": 5, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": 0.14049186617107323, "expandedConnected": 0.17643491489491825, "baselineWeighted": 0.10035133297933803, "expandedWeighted": 0.12602493921065588 } }, { "gameId": "401858258", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": 0.007538802660754129, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 4, "expandedReferences": 4, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.0784573965263825, "expandedConnected": -0.10484469109481731, "baselineWeighted": -0.05230493101758833, "expandedWeighted": -0.06989646072987821 } }, { "gameId": "401861964", "date": "2026-10-10", "actual": -0.7658730158730158, "division": "fbs", "baseTrainingObservations": 804, "additionalTrainingObservations": 328, "baselineReferences": 5, "expandedReferences": 5, "predictions": { "baselineConnected": -0.10769846558107654, "expandedConnected": -0.15180515092359154, "baselineWeighted": -0.07692747541505468, "expandedWeighted": -0.10843225065970825 } } ], "paired": { "connected": { "model": "expandedConnected", "baseline": "baselineConnected", "games": 353, "dates": 19, "gain": 0.013599774895139742, "betterGames": 165, "worseGames": 153, "tiedGames": 35, "bootstrapInterval": [ -0.012314853986965248, 0.04234322334123646 ], "rangeCrossesZero": true, "leaveDateOutRange": [ 0.004864931998867327, 0.025891705265204828 ], "dateBlocks": [ { "date": "2026-09-06", "games": 3, "gainSum": 0 }, { "date": "2026-09-07", "games": 1, "gainSum": 0.012193061945636963 }, { "date": "2026-09-10", "games": 1, "gainSum": 0.9292145593842447 }, { "date": "2026-09-11", "games": 5, "gainSum": -0.435426623615781 }, { "date": "2026-09-12", "games": 80, "gainSum": 2.00511234771814 }, { "date": "2026-09-17", "games": 1, "gainSum": -0.02627670756394407 }, { "date": "2026-09-18", "games": 3, "gainSum": 0.7124690533438915 }, { "date": "2026-09-19", "games": 71, "gainSum": -2.5007403468034326 }, { "date": "2026-09-24", "games": 1, "gainSum": -0.0002755008042139018 }, { "date": "2026-09-25", "games": 5, "gainSum": -0.2979010640753801 }, { "date": "2026-09-26", "games": 65, "gainSum": 3.399620122310539 }, { "date": "2026-10-01", "games": 2, "gainSum": 0.024445876788596776 }, { "date": "2026-10-02", "games": 3, "gainSum": 0.30561219006768214 }, { "date": "2026-10-03", "games": 54, "gainSum": -0.23535250164970334 }, { "date": "2026-10-06", "games": 1, "gainSum": 0.013696977950726663 }, { "date": "2026-10-07", "games": 2, "gainSum": 0.000617581182189797 }, { "date": "2026-10-08", "games": 4, "gainSum": 0.029673265678371474 }, { "date": "2026-10-09", "games": 5, "gainSum": 0.0029759186228264234 }, { "date": "2026-10-10", "games": 46, "gainSum": 0.861062327503938 } ], "leaveDateOut": [ { "date": "2026-09-06", "gain": 0.01371634439424094 }, { "date": "2026-09-07", "gain": 0.013603771238746286 }, { "date": "2026-09-10", "gain": 0.010998596530113876 }, { "date": "2026-09-11", "gain": 0.015046399889655488 }, { "date": "2026-09-12", "gain": 0.010240323041268092 }, { "date": "2026-09-17", "gain": 0.013713060356671232 }, { "date": "2026-09-18", "gain": 0.011680718527544107 }, { "date": "2026-09-19", "gain": 0.025891705265204828 }, { "date": "2026-09-24", "gain": 0.013639193292012908 }, { "date": "2026-09-25", "gain": 0.014651211500171579 }, { "date": "2026-09-26", "gain": 0.004864931998867327 }, { "date": "2026-10-01", "gain": 0.01360762011736676 }, { "date": "2026-10-02", "gain": 0.012843166708333277 }, { "date": "2026-10-03", "gain": 0.016843053644260978 }, { "date": "2026-10-06", "gain": 0.013599498750095461 }, { "date": "2026-10-07", "gain": 0.013675506999436295 }, { "date": "2026-10-08", "gain": 0.013670622556750596 }, { "date": "2026-10-09", "gain": 0.013786622469429605 }, { "date": "2026-10-10", "gain": 0.012832762900587593 } ] }, "weighted": { "model": "expandedWeighted", "baseline": "baselineWeighted", "games": 353, "dates": 19, "gain": 0.013807181446303812, "betterGames": 163, "worseGames": 151, "tiedGames": 39, "bootstrapInterval": [ -0.00101035022474204, 0.03765723795436551 ], "rangeCrossesZero": true, "leaveDateOutRange": [ 0.0050327853265012944, 0.01995433797663198 ], "dateBlocks": [ { "date": "2026-09-06", "games": 3, "gainSum": 0 }, { "date": "2026-09-07", "games": 1, "gainSum": 0 }, { "date": "2026-09-10", "games": 1, "gainSum": 0.5327264565177501 }, { "date": "2026-09-11", "games": 5, "gainSum": -0.10955062080975353 }, { "date": "2026-09-12", "games": 80, "gainSum": -0.5735992170752844 }, { "date": "2026-09-17", "games": 1, "gainSum": -0.013138353781972034 }, { "date": "2026-09-18", "games": 3, "gainSum": 0.4375318692416865 }, { "date": "2026-09-19", "games": 71, "gainSum": 0.354428970578071 }, { "date": "2026-09-24", "games": 1, "gainSum": -0.00016530048252816343 }, { "date": "2026-09-25", "games": 5, "gainSum": -0.1473978078803883 }, { "date": "2026-09-26", "games": 65, "gainSum": 3.424492876512873 }, { "date": "2026-10-01", "games": 2, "gainSum": 0.016297251192397555 }, { "date": "2026-10-02", "games": 3, "gainSum": 0.18447519064494527 }, { "date": "2026-10-03", "games": 54, "gainSum": -0.13924047630491015 }, { "date": "2026-10-06", "games": 1, "gainSum": 0.009131318633817775 }, { "date": "2026-10-07", "games": 2, "gainSum": 0.0004117207881264573 }, { "date": "2026-10-08", "games": 4, "gainSum": 0.020693843097134956 }, { "date": "2026-10-09", "games": 5, "gainSum": 0.2396136417429093 }, { "date": "2026-10-10", "games": 46, "gainSum": 0.6372236879303694 } ], "leaveDateOut": [ { "date": "2026-09-06", "gain": 0.01392552871584356 }, { "date": "2026-09-07", "gain": 0.013846406393594447 }, { "date": "2026-09-10", "gain": 0.012332978960305385 }, { "date": "2026-09-11", "gain": 0.01432036112458333 }, { "date": "2026-09-12", "gain": 0.01995433797663198 }, { "date": "2026-09-17", "gain": 0.013883731262293232 }, { "date": "2026-09-18", "gain": 0.012675437660867312 }, { "date": "2026-09-19", "gain": 0.016026617304848136 }, { "date": "2026-09-24", "gain": 0.013846875997237995 }, { "date": "2026-09-25", "gain": 0.014429117409269063 }, { "date": "2026-09-26", "gain": 0.0050327853265012944 }, { "date": "2026-10-01", "gain": 0.013839423929780196 }, { "date": "2026-10-02", "gain": 0.013398456742572288 }, { "date": "2026-10-03", "gain": 0.01676647333394701 }, { "date": "2026-10-06", "gain": 0.013820465147475647 }, { "date": "2026-10-07", "gain": 0.013884681851159883 }, { "date": "2026-10-08", "gain": 0.013906135264894301 }, { "date": "2026-10-09", "gain": 0.01331701554253545 }, { "date": "2026-10-10", "gain": 0.013800362744673864 } ] } }, "limitations": [ "Retrospective test uses finalized statistics and a source inventory acquired after the games. Chronological exclusion prevents target-day reuse but does not make this an untouched pregame trial.", "Both variants predict the same yards/play differential for the same eligible games. No rankings, Indexes or weights are selected from the result.", "The added reference set is partial and cross-provider agreement may come from shared feeds. Source credit and schedule completeness still need review.", "Date-level bootstrap resamples whole game dates; repeated teams across dates remain dependent.", "The existing frozen future protocol covers the prior Candidate only. This expanded variant needs its own frozen protocol before any prospective evaluation." ] }