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"Archived Beta ranges do not contain all alternative game-level statistics needed to rebuild this connected model. No alternative statistics were guessed." }, "missingCoverage": { "status": "not_resolved", "reason": "These sources contain FBS-connected games, not a verified complete FCS-versus-FCS schedule and statistical inventory. No external reference games were added." }, "limitations": [ "Same fixed four-game ridge prior and 100-observation warm-up across all seasons; each target day is excluded.", "Historical 2024 and 2025 statistics are archived inputs marked not independently checked, not new source verification.", "2024 and 2025 cover through Selection Sunday; 2026 covers only Week 7. Season metrics should not be compared as equally mature samples.", "Weight priors of 0, 1, 2 and 4 are a diagnostic sweep. No best setting is selected, no AP or school-specific tuning, and no published grade changes.", "The replay predicts yards/play differential, not the final 0–100 component, résumé rankings, or game winners.", "Finalized retrospective data and settings developed after seeing 2026 are not an independent prospective holdout.", "Alternative-source and full FCS coverage gates remain open. Lock settings and test untouched future outcomes before any promotion." ] }